Prep2Prep CCS Softball Playoff Projections
UPDATED 5/17/14
These are the final projections based on the latest information presented to Prep2Prep during the course of the regular season and league playoffs.
Barring last-minute corrections, this is the last set of projections we will release ahead of Saturday's CCS Seeding Meeting.
As always, we have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section,
but it is possible that there are slight schedule variations for some teams.
A quick summary of how the teams are selected is below.
First, a quick overview: a total of 39 teams spread out over three enrollment-based divisions of 13 teams each qualify for the CCS
Softball Playoffs. Of the 39, 28 receive automatic bids based on their position in their league standings as follows: BVAL (6), PAL (4),
SCVAL (4), MBL (4), MTAL (3), WBAL (3), WCAL (2) and SCCAL (2).
The remaining 11 at-large teams are selected based on a point system that awards teams based on results over the entire season, including
non-league play. To be considered for an at-large berth, teams must have at least a .500 record in either league play or overall. An average
number of points per game is calculated based on the number of total games played, or 17 if a team played fewer than 17 games.
Leagues within CCS are designated as "A" (highest), "B" and "C". Wins against "A" teams count for 3 points; wins against "B" teams count for
2.5; and wins against "C" teams count for 2. Strip off one point from those totals in cases of ties, and two points for losses to respectively
designed "A", "B" and "C" teams. Teams outside of CCS are considered "B" teams.
Finally, teams are awarded 2 points for playing an "A" league champion, 1.5 points for playing a "B" league champion and 1 point for playing
a "C" league champion. Teams also receive 5 points for being an "A" league champion, 4 for being a "B" league champion and 3 for being a
"C" league champion.
We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams
that compete in the Central Coast Section, but it is possible that there are slight schedule variations for some teams. These projections are
based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please contact Prep2Prep
via email or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports.
You can also leave comments on our Facebook page.
For more details on the CCS point system, please click
here.
Because the season is not quite over, we must make a few assumptions:
ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing
a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team,
based on the total number of games the team will play for the entire season.
ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently
tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded one point for playing a league champion; if a team played a team
that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team 0.33 points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the
same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.
ASSUMPTION 3: in the first round, league mates are not matched up whenever possible as per CCS rules.
ASSUMPTION 4: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large
teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in
first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration. If we cannot
determine a league's bylaws, we will assume they rank by order of CCS points.
ASSUMPTION 5: some leagues hold a postseason tournament to fill out their allotment of automatic qualifiers. In those instances, we assumed
the team(s) with the highest CCS point totals will receive the automatic bid.
NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.
DIVISION I: Thirty-nine teams qualify for the CCS playoffs, with the top 13 schools by enrollment placed in Division I. We had
to make a few adjustments to the brackets to avoid first-round matchups between league mates.
Mitty appears to be right on the border of Division I and Division II, which would obviously have a huge impact on the direction of the CCS
playoffs as the Monarchs enter the tournament as the clear No. 1 team in the section.
In order to avoid matchups between league matches in the SCVAL, we had to move Los Gatos from No. 12 to No. 13 and swap Homestead and Mountain
View at No. 10 and No. 11, respectively.
DIVISION II: After the 13 teams with the highest enrollment are placed in Division I, the next 13 teams by enrollment are
placed in Division II.
DIVISION III: Finally, the remaining 13 teams as ranked by enrollment are placed in Division III.
As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 11 at-large teams included in the complete field of 39 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at
the those 11 at-large teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.
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