We present the Central Coast Section Girls Soccer Playoff Projections based on the latest information available to Prep2Prep through the matches
of February 19. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section.
These projections are based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please do so directly on that team's Prep2Prep page,
contact Prep2Prep via
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CCS has not made any changes to the teams that make up Open Division for girls soccer. The 4 "A" league champions plus the next four highest point-total
getters will comprise an eight-team elite playoff field. The only "B" teams eligible are those in divisions that don't have an "A" league, but they are required to opt up
prior to the seeding meeting. The other 32 teams in the playoff field will be split according to their CCS point totals with the top 8 in Division 1, the next 8 in Division 2,
the next 8 in Division 3 and the final 8 in Division 4.
For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click
here. Keep in mind that only a team's final 18 games count
toward CCS point-total calculations. Also, a team must have at least a .500 record in league or overall to be considered.
In the first round, teams from the same league cannot face each other, so seedings are adjusted to avoid such matchups.
As we approach the final full week of the regular season, we will focus on which teams have clinched a CCS berth, which teams are closing in and which teams are on the bubble and still
have some work to do. The best way to do so is to go through league by league.
BVAL-MOUNT HAMILTON
CLINCHED (5): Leigh, Pioneer, Live Oak, Leland, Piedmont Hills
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (1): Westmont
NOTE: Even though Piedmont Hills finished fifth in the BVAL-MH, the Pirates have a very high CCS point total (51) and right now project in the Open Division despite a 2-5-3
league record. Leland (44) has the lowest point total among BVAL at-large candidates, but that should be plenty enough to get the Chargers in.
BVAL-MT. UMUNHUM
CLINCHED (2): Branham, Prospect
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (4): Lincoln, Willow Glen, Gunderson, Andrew Hill
NOTE: Branham knocked off Prospect 1-0 to claim the inaugural BVAL-MU title and automatic bid to CCS. Prospect (44) will get in regardless of whether it defeats Del Mar Wednesday
night in a playoff for the final BVAL automatic bid.
BVAL-SANTA TERESA
CLINCHED (1): Ann Sobrato
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (3): Evergreen Valley, Santa Teresa, Silver Creek, San Jose
NOTE: Ann Sobrato has clinched the BVAL-ST championship and automatic bid. Evergreen Valley lost in overtime to Prospect in a BVAL play-in game and will not have enough CCS points to
qualify as an at-large team.
BVAL-WEST VALLEY
CLINCHED (0): none
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (6): Del Mar, Oak Grove, Yerba Buena, Mt. Pleasant, James Lick, Independence
NOTE: Del Mar lost 3-0 to Prospect to end its hopes for a CCS playoff berth.
PAL-BAY
CLINCHED (5): Carlmont, Woodside, Sequoia, Burlingame, Menlo-Atherton
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (2): Aragon, Terra Nova
NOTE: Carlmont, Woodside and Sequoia have clinched the three automatic bids from the PAL-Bay. We project Burlingame (42.5) in the field while Menlo-Atherton (41)
currently projects as the final team in.
PAL-OCEAN
CLINCHED (3): Capuchino, South San Francisco, Hillsdale
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (3): Mills, San Mateo, Half Moon Bay
NOTE: Capuchino has clinched the league title and automatic bid. South San Francisco is in excellent shape and Hillsdale is one of the final few teams in the field in this
projection. Hillsdale's win over Capuchino leaves them with 43.5 points which should be enough to get in.
PCAL-ARROYO
CLINCHED (0): none
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (6): Marina, York, Anzar, Oakwood, Trinity Christian, Ceiba Prep
NOTE: Marina lost to Monte Vista Christian in a one-game playoff for a PCAL automatic bid, so no teams from this league will participate in the CCS playoffs.
playoff.
PCAL-CYPRESS
CLINCHED (1): Carmel
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (5): Soledad, Seaside, Notre Dame-Salinas, St. Francis SCP, Greenfield
NOTE: Carmel has sealed the automatic bid from this division. Soledad lost to Pajaro Valley in a one-game playoff for an automatic PCAL bid.
PCAL-GABILAN
CLINCHED (3): Christopher, Salinas, Alisal
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (3): San Benito, Watsonville, North Monterey County
NOTE: Christopher, Salinas and Alisal earned the top three finishes and automatic bids from the PCAL-Gabilan. The rest of the teams are nowhere near the cutoff line to get in.
PCAL-MISSION
CLINCHED (2): Gilroy, Monte Vista Christian
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (4): Pacific Collegiate, Alvarez, North Salinas, King City
NOTE: Gilroy won the league title and as expected, Monte Vista Christian defeated Marina in a playoff for another PCAL automatic bid.
PCAL-SANTA LUCIA
CLINCHED (1): Pajaro Valley
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (6): Monterey, Pacific Grove, Gonzales, Santa Catalina, Robert Louis Stevenson, Rancho San Juan
NOTE: Pajaro Valley beat Soledad to earn an automatic bid to the CCS playoffs.
PSAL-NORTH
CLINCHED (1): Nueva School
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (5): Summit Shasta, Design Tech, Summit Prep, Cindy Avitia, Summit Tahoma
NOTE: Nueva School has dominated this one-bid league and will be a fascinating matchup in the CCS playoffs.
PSAL-SOUTH
CLINCHED (1): Latino College Prep
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (6): Luis Valdez Leadership, Thomas More, KIPP San Jose Collegiate, Cristo Rey, Downtown College Prep, Downtown College Prep-Alum Rock
NOTE: Latino College Prep and Luis Valdez Leadership finished tied for first, but LCP gets the tiebreaker based on head-to-head results.
SCCAL
CLINCHED (2): Aptos, Santa Cruz
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (4): Scotts Valley, Soquel, Harbor, San Lorenzo Valley
NOTE: The top two teams during the regular season - Aptos and Santa Cruz - reached the final of the SCCAL tournament, so there will be no additional teams in the field from the SCCAL.
SCVAL-DE ANZA
CLINCHED (4): Los Gatos, Homestead, Mountain View, Palo Alto
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (3): Santa Clara, Saratoga, Los Altos
NOTE: Palo Alto defeated Santa Clara 3-0 to eliminate the Bruins - as well as Sacred Heart Cathedral.
SCVAL-EL CAMINO
CLINCHED (1): Gunn
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (6): Fremont, Monta Vista, Wilcox, Milpitas, Cupertino, Lynbrook
NOTE: Gunn won the league title and no other teams will have enough CCS points to qualify.
WBAL-FOOTHILL
CLINCHED (4): Notre Dame-Belmont, Menlo School, Sacred Heart Prep, Mercy Burlingame
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (2): Woodside Priory, The King's Academy
NOTE: Mercy Burlingame defeated Harker for the final automatic bid from the WBAL.
WBAL-SKYLINE
CLINCHED (0): none
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (7): Harker School, Castilleja, Notre Dame-San Jose, Crystal Springs Uplands, Pinewood, Eastside College Prep, Mercy San Francisco
NOTE: Harker clinched the WBAL-Skyline title but lost to Mercy Burlingame in a one-game playoff for the opportunity to play in the CCS playoffs.
WCAL
CLINCHED (4): Archbishop Mitty, Saint Francis, Saint Ignatius, Presentation
CLOSING IN (0): none
BUBBLE (0): none
LONGSHOT (0): none
OUT (2): Sacred Heart Cathedral, Valley Christian
NOTE: We have Sacred Heart Cathedral as the first team out.
TOTAL:
CLINCHED (40)
CLOSING IN (0)
BUBBLE (0)
LONGSHOT (0)
OUT (78)
NOTE: Barring any last-minute surprises, we believe this represents the 40 teams that will compete in the CCS playoffs.
Here are a few assumptions for the process as a whole:
ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing
a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given
team as of today. We determine league champions based on points per game, which is especially relevant in cases where the teams have not
played the same number of games.
ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently
tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded bonus points for playing a league champion; if a team played a team
that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team one-third of the points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the
same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.
ASSUMPTION 3: for out-of-section teams that we were unable to find accurate records, we assumed them to be "B" teams and not division champs.
ASSUMPTION 4: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large
teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in
first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration.
ASSUMPTION 5: the PCAL holds two playoffs to determine the final automatic bids pitting the second-place team in the Cypress against the champion
of the Santa Lucia Division and the second-place team in the Mission against the champion of the Arroyo Division. For now we will choose the team that is rated higher in the
Prep2Prep computer rankings.
ASSUMPTION 6: the BVAL has changed its format. With four 6-team divisions, it has created a change in how the six automatic playoff berths are allocated. The BVAL-Mount Hamilton
Divsion gets 3 automatic bids and the newly formed BVAL-Mount Umunhum gets 1 along with the BVAL-Santa Teresa.
The final automatic bid goes to a playoff, where the second-place
finishers in the Mount Umunhum and Santa Teresa square off, with the winner meeting the champion of the BVAL-West Valley Division. We will simply project the team with the
highest CCS point total to win the playoff for now.
ASSUMPTION 7: the WBAL holds a playoff between the fourth-place team from the Foothill Division and the champion of the Skyline Division for the fourth automatic bid for the league.
We will project the higher ranked team in the Prep2Prep computer rankings.
NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.
There are a total of 9 at-large teams included in the complete field of 40 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at
the list of at-large teams, including the last five teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.